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贝叶斯网络学习、推理与应用

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专门讲贝叶斯网络学习的书籍,很经典,需要学习的可以下载图书在版编目(CIP)数据贝叶斯网络学习推理与应用王双成著.一上海:立信会计出版社,20102lsBN978-754292470-4I.①贝…Ⅱ.①王….①贝叶斯推断Ⅳ①0212中国版本图书馆CP数据核字(2010)第07142号责任编辑赵志梅封面设计周祟文贝叶斯网络学习、推理与应用出版发行立信会计出版社地址上海市中山西路2230号邮政编码20035电话(021)64411389传真(021)644125网址www.lirinaph.comE-mail kaph@ sh163 net网上书店www.shl-.netTel:(021)6411071经销各地新华书店印刷上海申松立信印刷有限责任公司开本890毫米X1240毫米/32印张9375字数254千字版次2010年2月第1版印次2010年2月第1次书号IsBN978-7-54292470-4/0定价20.00元如有印订差错,请与本社联系调换内容简介贝叶斯网络是概率理论与图形理论的结合,围绕的一个基本问题是联合概率计算。基于贝叶斯网络可进行联合概率的条件和边缘分解从而有效降低运算复杂性并解决与联合概率计算有关的一系列向题。贝叶斯网络已在许多领域得到了广泛的应用,是不确定性知识表示和推理的有力工具。本书按照贝叶斯网络基础、学习、推理、集成和应用的框架介绍贝叶斯网络的相关理论、方法和算法,有助于读者对贝叶斯网络理论体系的认识和理解,可供相关专业的高年级本科生、研究生和科研人员学习与参考贝叶斯网络( Bayesian networks)是描述随机变量之间依赖关系的图形模式,被广泛用于不确定性问题的智能化求解。它具有多功能性、有效性和开放性(是一个能够集成其它智能技术与数据处理方法的平台)等特征,能够有效地转化数据为知识(具有形象直观的知识表示形式),并利用这些知识进行推理(具有类似于人类思维的推理方式),以解决分析、预测和控制等方面的问题。其有效性已在风险管理、信息融合、医疗诊断、系统控制和生物信息分析等许多领域得到验证。自从20世纪80年代后期加利福尼亚大学计算机科学系 Pearl(1988)给出贝叶斯网络的严格定义并创建贝叶斯网络基础理论体系以来,贝叶斯网络获得了长足的发展。这些研究主要从贝叶斯网络学习推理、集成和应用四个方面展开,出现了许多经典的方法和算法,也解决了大量的实际问题。本书共分五个部分。第一部分是贝叶斯网络基础,包插第1、第2、第3章。第1章介绍在贝叶斯网络研究中经常使用的一些概率公式和方法。第2章从概率模式、图形模式和它们之间联系的视角简要阐述贝叶斯网络的基础理论。第3章绐出贝叶斯网络学习和推理中可能用到的一些量化方法和标准第二部分是贝叶斯网络学习,包括第4章至第10章。这儿章分别从具有完整数据、丢失数据、隐藏变量、连续变量、噪声和小数据集等情况给出了一系列贝叶斯网络学习方法,以及随环境变化的贝叶斯网络更新算法。第三部分是贝叶斯网络推理,包括第11、第12章。第11章从贝叶斯网络信念更新和信念修正两个方面简要介绍经典的准确和近似推贝叶斯劂络学习、推瑰与应用理方法。第12章给出一系列贝叶斯网络分类器(分类预测推理)。第四部分是贝叶斯网络集成,包括第13章至第16章。这几章介绍将贝叶斯网络与因果理论、决策理论、可能理论和时序过程相结合而得到的因果贝叶斯网络、决策贝叶斯网络(影响图)、可能贝叶斯网络(可能网)和动态贝叶斯网络。第五部分是贝叶斯网络应用,包括第17、笫18章。第17章介绍基于贝叶斯网络的聚类分析方法。第18章给出贝叶斯网络在预警和评估等方面的应用。本书是作者在多年从事贝叶斯网络研究基础上整理而成的,其撰写和出版得到国家自然科学基金(60675036)、上海市教委重点学科基金(51702)和上海市教委科研创新重点项目(09z202)的资助。王双成2009年11月于上海立信会计学院录第一部分贝叶斯网络基础第1章概率论基础1.1概率计算公式1.2贝叶斯方法33561.3贝叶斯概率音要鲁要是音音吾辛音晋晋费音省普辛音萨自即鲁音普鲁香备善鲁曹普辛鲁曹曹鲁鲁第2章贝叶斯网络基础理论…2.1概率模式中的条件独立性2.2图形模式中的d- separation性102.3条件独立性与d- separation性之间的联系…2.4贝叶斯网络基本定理……122.5贝叶斯网络模型…………………………122.6变量之间基本依赖关系和结点之间基本结构……………14第3章常用的检验方法和评价标准153.1变量之间依赖关系检验…153.2贝叶斯网络结构常用打分标准…183.3分类准确性评价标准…………243.4贝叶斯网络学习可靠性评价标准…28第二部分贝叶斯网络学习第4章具有完整数据的贝叶斯网络学习314.1基于打分搜索的贝叶斯网络结构学习……………………312贝叶斯网络学习、推理与应用4.2基于依赖分析的贝叶斯网络结构学习36第5章具有丢失数据的贝叶斯网络学习…………455.1基于近似打分搜索的结构学习………455.2基于 Gibbs sampling和依赖分析的贝叶斯网络结构学习…音非垂48第6章具有隐藏变量的贝叶斯网络学习是·音音曹面喜鼻口要音·面鲁要普鲁看豪556.1不考虑隐藏变量的贝叶斯网络结构和道德图学习………556.2发现隐藏变量6.3确定隐藏变量取值和维数…………………………………586.4确定局部结构……606.5实验与分析………………………………………60第7章具有连续变量的贝叶斯网络学习D看口637.1不离散化连续变量的贝叶斯网络学习……637.2离散化连续变量的贝叶斯网络学习…66第8章具有噪声的贝叶斯网络学习…………788.1噪声平滑方法……798.2噪声平滑过程………………………808.3实验与分析82第9章小数据集贝叶斯网络学习…………………879.1小数据集贝叶斯网络结构学习……889.2小数据集贝叶斯网络多父结点参数的修复……96第10章贝叶斯网络更新学习看看dt10.1贝叶斯网络增量学习…●鲁···。靳鲁鲁毒●毒。鲁鲁■。音啬·最番着着鲁音音·自啬10310.2贝叶斯网络适应性学习………1410第三部分贝叶斯网络推理第11章贝叶斯网络基本推理11711.1统计推断……………………11711.2贝叶斯网络中的信念更新………………………11911.3贝叶斯网络中的信念修正………132第12章贝叶斯网络分类推理p由要中。;中叠鲁量。自·申中··画电·13612.1贝叶斯分类器…13712.2朴素贝叶斯分类器…14012.3广义朴素贝叶斯分类器……s14412.4TAN分类器………14612.5贝叶斯网络分类器…15312.6基于类约束的贝叶斯网络分类器………15612.7基于贝叶斯网络的特征子集选择要鲁费鲁量要鲁卧电香曹15812.8分类器的训练与泛化………………………………17212.9基于贝叶斯网络的联合预测………………………174第四部分贝叶斯网络集成第13章因果贝叶斯网络;音p即曹看最看晋看看看面画哥垂晶最音是看语音西卣垂17713.1单连通因果网学习s…………17813.2基于依赖分析的因果贝叶斯网络结构学习番备普最看啬■曹音音番春17813.3基于结点排序和局部打分-搜索的因果贝叶斯网络结构学习18513.4因果贝叶斯网络参数学习……18813.5基于贝叶斯网络的因果知识表示………………18913.6因果量化分析189第14章决策贝叶斯网络l914贝叶斯网络学习、箍理与应用14.1影响图的构成19114.2影响图的基本变换和最优决策…画·垂画画……19214.3影响图举例…………………………193第15章可能贝叶斯网络…19815.1可能网的概念鲁非鲁中·中鲁鲁·普西·鲁善鲁鲁善善申善鲁曹鲁鲁善善@·售鲁善鲁鲁登要19815.2可能网结构学习……202第16章动态贝叶斯网络……………………………20416.1一般动态贝叶斯网络20416.2具有平稳性和马尔可夫性假设约束的动态贝叶斯网络…20516.3几种特殊的动态贝叶斯网络………………………………21016.4动态贝叶斯网络分类器…………………………211第五部分贝叶斯网络应用第17章贝叶斯网络用于聚类分析………………21717.1离散数据聚类………………21717.2自动混合数据聚类— AutoClass…22217.3基于 Gibbs sampling的混合数据聚类225第18章贝叶斯网络用于预测23518.1经济周期波动转折点预测…23518.2风险预警23618.3风险评估…244附录常用贝叶斯网络…………………………………………250参考文献270

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  • altera公司IP核使用手册.PDF
    altera公司IP核使用手册,对于学习EDA技术的学生或工程师有用A吉RAContentsChapter 1. About this MegaCore FunctionRelease informat1-1Device Family Support···Introduction.··········FeaturesOpen core plus evaluation1-3Performance···Chapter 2. Getting StartedDesign Flow衡·鲁·,看·,音番2-1Megacore Function walkthrough2-2Create a New quartus II Pi2-2Launch the mega Wizard Plug-in ManagerStep 1: Parameterize2-5Step 2: Set Up SimulationStep 3: Generate..,2-11Simulate the design2-13Compile the design2-13Pa Device2-14Set Up Licensing2-15ppend the license to yourdat file2-15Specify the License File in the Quartus II Software...2-15Example Simulation and Compilation..2-16Example quartus Ii project2-16Example simulation with Test Vectors,,,,,,2-16Chapter 3. SpecificationsyperTransport Technology Overview1HT SyStems3-2HT Flow ControlHyper Transport MegaCore Function SpecificationPhysical InterfaceSynchronization and alignment ...Protocol interfClocking Options.......HyperTransport Mega Core Function Parameters and HT Link Performance3-10Signals3-14CSR Module...3-31OpenCore plus time-Out BehaviorAppendix A. ParametersIntroduction鲁鲁鲁A-1Parameter listsDevice Family and Read Only registers···········,,,,,,,,,,A-1Base Address Registers番鲁,A-2Clocking OptionsA-3Advanced settingso March 2009 Altera corporationHyperTransport MegaCore Function User GuideAppendix B. Stratix Device Pin AssignmentsIntroductionB-1GuidelinesAppendix C. Example designGeneral descriptionAdditional informationRevision historyInto-lHow to Contact alteraInfo-1Typographic Conventions ..........Info-2Hyper Transport MegaCore Function User Guideo March 2009 Altera CorporationA吉RA1. About this MegaCore FunctionRelease InformationTable 1-1 provides information about this release of the Hyper Transport Mega CoretfunctioTable 1-1. Hyper Transport Mega Core Function Release InformationitenlDescription∨ ersion9.0Release dateMarch 2009Ordering codeIP-HTProduct ID(s)0098Vendor iD(s)6AF7Altera verifies that the current version of the quartus@ll software compiles theprevious version of each MegaCore function. Any exceptions to this verification arereported in the Mega Core lP Library release Notes and Errata. Altera does not verifycompilation with Mega Core function versions older than one releaseDevice Family SupportMegaCore functions provide either full or preliminary support for target Alteradevice families:Full support means the Mega Core function meets all functional and timingrequirements for the device family and may be used in production designsa Preliminary support means the Mega Core function meets all functionalrequirements, but may still be undergoing timing analysis for the device family;itmay be used in production designs with cautionTable 1-2 shows the level of support offered by the Hyper Transport MegaCorefunction for each of the altera device familiesTable 1-2. Device Family SupportDevice FamilySupportHard Copy Stratix@FullStratixFulStratix IIFulStratix‖GXPreliminaryStratix GXOther device familiesNo supportC March 2009 Altera CorporationHyperT ransport Mega Core Function User Guide1-2Chapter 1: About this MegaCore FunctionIntroductionIntroductionThe Hyper Transport Mega Core function implements high-speed packet transfersbetween physical(PhY) and link-layer devices, and is fully compliant with theHyperTransport l/O Link Specification, Revision 1.03. This Mega Core function allowsdesigners to interface to a wide range of Hyper TransportTm technology(hT)enableddevices quickly and easily, including network processors, coprocessors, videochipsets, and ASICsFeaturesThe Hyper Transport Mega Core function has the following features8-bit fully integrated hT end-chain interfacePacket-based protocolDual unidirectional point-to-point linksUp to 16 Gigabits per second(Gbps)throughput(8 Gbps in each direction)200, 300, and 400 MHz DDR links in Stratix and Stratix GX devices200, 300, 400, and 500 MHz ddr links in Stratix II and Stratix II GX devicesLow-swing differential signaling with 100-Q2 differential impedanceHardware verified with Hyper fransport interfaces on multiple industry standardprocessor and bridge devicesFully parameterized mega core function allows flexible, easy configurationFully optimized for the altera stratix Il, Stratix, Stratix GX, and Stratix II GXevice famillesApplication-side interface uses the Altera AtlanticTM interface standardManages Hr flow control, optimizing performance and ease of useIndependent buffering for each HT virtual channelAutomatic handling of ht ordering rulesStalling of one virtual channel does not delay other virtual channels(subject toorderingFlexible parameterized buffer sizes, allowing customization depending onsystem requirementsUser interface has independent interfaces for the HT virtual channels, allowingindependent user logic designCyclic redundancy code(crc) generation and checking to preserve data integrityIntegrated detection and response to common HT error conditions■ CRC errorsEnd-chain errorsFully integrated HT configuration space includes all required configuration spaceregisters and HT capabilities list registersHyper Transport MegaCore Function User Guideo March 2009 Altera CorporationChapter 1: About this MegaCore FunctionPerformance32-bit and 64-bit support across all base address registers bars)automatically handles all csr space accessesVerilog HDL and VHdL simulation supportOpen Core Plus EvaluationWith the Altera free Open Core Plus evaluation feature, you can perform the followingSimulate the behavior of a mcgafunction(Altera MegaCore function or AMPPmegafunction) within your systema Verify the functionality of your design, as well as quickly and easily evaluate itssize and speedGenerate time-limited device programming files for designs that includeMegaCore functionsProgram a device and verify your design in hardwareYou only need to purchase a license for the Mega Core function when you arecompletely satisfied with its functionality and performance and want to take yourdesign to productiono For more information about Open Core Plus hardware evaluation using theHyperTransport MegaCore function, refer to"Open Core Plus Time-Out Behavior"onpage 3-40 and AN 320: Open Core Plus Evaluation of megafunctionsPerformanceThe Hyper Transport Mega Core function uses 20 differential I/O pin pairs and 2single-ended I/O pins, requiring 42 pins total. Table 1-3 through Table 1-5 showtypical performance and adaptive look-up table (alut) or logic element (LE)usagefor the HyperTransport MegaCore function in Stratix II GX, Stratix IL, Stratix, andStratix GX devices respectively, using the Quartus@ II software version 7.1Table 1-3 shows the maximum supported data rates in megabits per second(Mbps)by device family and speed gradeTable 1-3. Maximum Supported Hyper Transport Data Rates (Note 1)Speed GradeDevice Family-36Stratix ll GX devices 1000 Mbps 1000 Mbps 800 MbpsNA(2)N/A(2NA(2)Stratix devices1000 Mbps 1000 Mbps 800 Mbps N/A(2)NA(2)NA(2)Stratix devicesN/A(2N/A(2)00 Mbps 800 Mbps 600 Mbps400 MbpsFlip-Chip packagesStratix devicesNA(2)NA(2)NA(2)600 Mbps400 Mbps400 Mbps(Wire Bond packagesStratix GX devicesN/A(2) N/A(2)800 Mbps 800 Mbps 600 Mbps N/A(2)Notes to table 1-3(1)Rates are per interface bit. Multiply by eight to calculate the uni-directional data rate of an 8-bit inter face(2) Devices ot this speed grade are not ottered in this device familyC March 2009 Altera CorporationHyperTransport Mega Core Function User GuideChapter 1: About this MegaCore FunctionPerformanceTable 1-4 shows performance and device utilization for the Hyper TransportMegaCore function in Stratix II and Stratix II GX devicesTable 1-4. Hyper Transport Mega Core Function Performance in Stratix ll and Stratix ll GX DevicesParametersMemoryUserRXCombinationalHT Link InterfacePosted Non-Posted Response ClockingALUTSLogicfMAX(MHz) MAx(MHz)Buffers BuffersBuffers Option(12)Registers M4K M512 ( 3)3)Shared3.5005200120500125(4RX/TX/Ref35005200500Ref/x8Shared36005400160500>150RX/TXShared4.0006,00016150RX/TX16Shared4,1006,200500125(4)RX/TX/RefShared4.1006200500125(4Ref/TxShared4.2006400160150RX/TXNotes to table 1-4.Refer to " Clocking Options "on page 3-7 for more information about these options(2 )Other parameters(BAR configurations, etc. )vary the alut and Logic Register utilization numbers by approximately +/-200(3)Figures for -3 speed grade devices only(4) When using the Shared Rx/Tx/Ref and Shared Ref/Tx options, the user interface frequency is limited to exactly the ht frequency divided byTable 1-5 shows performance and device utilization for the Hyper TransportMegaCore function in Stratix and Stratix GX devicesTable 1-5. Hyper Transport Mega Core Function Performance in Stratix and Stratix GX DevicesUser Interface fmaxParametersUtilizationHT Link fMAX MHz)MHZ)RXRXSpeed GradePosted Non-Posted Response Clocking Option LEsM4KBuffers BuffersBuffers)(2 Blocks.5-66Shared rx/tx/ref1240010073)100734448888Shared Ref/Tx 7, 60014400400100{3)100(3)Shared rxtx7,90016400400>125>100Shared rxtx8.900125>100168Shared Rx/T×Ref9,400124004001003)100316Shared ref/ ix9.500144001003)10073)16Shared rx/x9.700400125Notes to table 1-5:(1)Refer to Clocking Options"on page 3-7 for more information about these options(2 )Other parameters( BAR configurations etc. )vary the LE utilization by approximately +/-200 LES(3 )When using the Shared Rx/Tx/ Ref and Shared Ref/Tx options, the user interface frequency is limited to exactly the hT frequency divided by fourHyper Transport MegaCore Function User GuideC March 2009 Altera CorporationA吉RA2. Getting StartedDesign FlowTo evaluate the HyperTransport Mega Core function using the Open Core Plus feature,include these steps in your design flowObtain and install the HyperTransport Mega Core functionThe HyperTransport Mega Core function is part of the MegaCore IP Library, which isdistributed with the Quartus ii software and downloadable from the altera websitewww.altera.como For system requirements and installation instructions, refer to Quartus II InstallationLicensing for Windows and Linux Workstations on the Altera website atwww.altera.com/literature/lit-qts.ispFigure 2-1 shows the directory structure after you install the HyperTransportMegaCore function, where is the installation directory. The default installationWindows is C: altera ; on Linux it islopt/alteraFigure 2-1. Directory StructureInstallation directorypContains the Altera MegaCore IP Library and third-party IP coresalteraContains the Altera MegaCore IP LibrarycommonContains shared componentshtContains the Hyper Transport Hyper Transport Megacore function files and documentationdocContains the documentation for the Hyper Transport MegaCore functionlibContains encrypted lower-level design filesexampleContains the design example for the Hyper Transport Mega Core function2. Create a custom variation of the Hyper Transport Mega Core function3. Implement the rest of your design using the design entry method of your choice4. Use the IP functional simulation model to verify the operation of your designo For more information about Ip functional simulation models, refer to the SimulatingAltera IP in Third-Party Simulation Tools chapter in volume 3 of the Quartus II Handbook5. Use the Quartus II software to compile your designC March 2009 Altera CorporationHyperT ransport Mega Core Function User Guide2-2Chapter 2: Getting StartedMega Core Function WalkthroughIg You can also generate an Open Core Plus time-limited programming file,which you can use to verify the operation of your design in hardware6. Purchase a license for the hypertransport Mega Core functionAfter you have purchased a license for the Hyper transport mega Core functionfollow these additional steps1. Set up licensing2. Generate a programming file for the Altera device(s)on your board3. Program the Altera device(s)with the completed designMegaCore Function WalkthroughThis walkthrough explains how to create a custom variation using the AlteraHyper Transport IP Toolbench and the Quartus II software, and simulate the functionusing an ip functional simulation model and the modelsim software when you arefinished generating your custom variation of the function, you can incorporate it intoⅴ our overall projectIe IP Toolbench allows you to select only legal combinations of parameters, and warnsou of any invalid configurationsIn this walkthrough you follow these stepsCreate a New Quartus II Projecta Launch the MegaWizard Plug-in Manager■Step1: Parameterizea Step 2: Set Up Simulation■Step3: Generate■ Simulate the designTo generate a wrapper file and Ip functional simulation model using default values,omit the procedure described in"Step 1: Parameterizeon page 2-5Create a New Quartus ll ProjectCreate a new Quartus II project with the New Project Wizard, which specifies theworking directory for the project, assigns the project name, and designates the nameof the top-level design entityTo create a new project, perform the following steps1. On the Windows Start menu, select Programs> Altera> Quartus II tostart the Quartus lI software. Alternatively, you can use the Quartus II Web editionsoftware2. In the Quartus II window, on the File menu, click New Project Wizard. If you didnot turn it off previously, the New Project Wizard Introduction page appears3. On the New Project Wizard Introduction page, click NextHyper Transport MegaCore Function User Guideo March 2009 Altera Corporation
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